November 23, 2010
Epilogue, Texas Longhorn Football 2010

Right after the Kansas State Wildcats ran over the Longhorns 39 - 14 in week 9, and with three games left to play, I blogged that the beloved Texas Longhorns would have a 7 loss season, losing both to OSU and A&M, and, of course, avoiding a loss with Florida Atlantic.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys did whip up on the Longhorns 33 - 16 in week 10, which was our 6th loss, and our 4th Home game loss this season.  For some silly reason, before the Florida Atlantic game in week 11, I started playing around with some of the stats and saw that the particular match up between the offensive and defensive teams between Texas and A&M might open up a possible advantage for Texas.  I guess my orange blood went to my head and clouded my vision of reality, but I revised my prediction, and blogged that we could possibly take A&M, and changed my original prediction of a 7 loss season to a 6 loss season.

Then, I watched the Nebraska Cornhuskers take on the Texas A&M Aggies game in week 11 and was hit with the realization that the Longhorns have a better chance of putting a camel through the eye of a needle than beating the Aggies.

Of course we took the week 11 Florida Atlantic game, but even that game was not outside the realm of being lost, given our habitual pattern of mishaps, mistakes, and blunders this season.

I watched Greg Davis call the exact same play 5 times in a row early in the Florida Atlantic game from 3 and 4 yards out in the Red Zone, with no touchdown.  That’s when it struck me. I realized that there’s very little chance that our offense can play with any kind of intelligent offensive strategy or without the usual mishaps, mistakes, blunders, penalties, missed catches, dropped balls.  That’s just not going to happen.

During the FAU game, there were some nice throws, some good runs, but beating this team 51 - 17 is not exactly a confidence builder for a team that has had 162 consecutive weeks on the AP top 25.  I mean, FAU was beat by North Texas, which was the 2nd worst team in the country last year.  The only purpose this win served is to minimize the number of losses Mack Brown will be credited with this season, and it was a good work out.  We need to stay conditioned for Thursday’s game.  The win against FAU doesn’t say anything at all about who the Longhorns are as a team, they haven’t made a break through with their playing.  We beat a pretty low rated team, which we should have done.

The 63 yard touchdown pass to Kirkendoll in the 2nd quarter was awesome. It reminded me of McCoy and Shipley.  It was great to see Gilbert connect with such an accurate pass, and not be dropped.

The team that’s coming to Austin on Thanksgiving Day is bringing a collection of evil football eating monsters in their defense, and there is very little chance that our mistake prone offense will be able to put even one point on the board against that defense.  So, it will be sorta difficult to win the game with no points on the board.  They are also bringing a pretty good running game, which our defense is capable of stopping.  Whether we will stop their runners or not is a guess.  We have played some top 10 defense this season, and we have also botched at least two games with defense, UCLA and Kansas State.  We’ll need to play defense like we did with Baylor, except without the 3 missed touchdowns Baylor snuck past our defense.  I was not impressed with Tannehill’s passing game against Nebraska.

The Nebraska - A&M game was mostly a stalemate, between two very tough defensive teams, where no touchdowns were made, and it was really a matter of who finished with the most field goals when the clock ran out.  It didn’t help the Cornhuskers that Martinez was out most of the game with an ankle injury, and when he was playing he was not at 100%.  Should I mention that Bo Pelini does not like losing.  He walked across the field, shook Mike Sherman’s hand from about 10 feet away, didn’t say a word, and headed straight for the locker room.

Anyway, so now, the Nebraska - A&M game has me in a dilemma.  There’s maybe a 5% or 10% chance that Texas can take the game on Thanksgiving Day, maybe 1% or less, negative percentage, heck, I don’t know if it’s even in the realm of possibility.  And there’s about a 95% chance that A&M will beat up on us pretty bad.  I hope it’s not more than 20 points.

The Longhorn in me wants to believe that maybe the miracle will happen, and A&M will play bad like Nebraska did when they played the Longhorns, or that we’ll get lucky and make some big plays, maybe like the Hail Mary throw Gilbert did with a few seconds left in the 1st half of the FAU game.  Was that kewl or what?

But, the logical in me already knows the game is lost.

So, my dilemma is which way to go.  Do I concede the loss which my logical self knows will happen, or do I throw logic to the wind and say that out of the slight possibility we have to win, that we will indeed win?

If you’re a real Longhorn, you have to go with the right thing to do, and that is to say the Longhorns are going to take the day.  No one may really believe that, but that’s how I’m calling it.  Hook Em’ Horns.  Bring it on Mike Sherman and company.  A&M is on a 5 game winning streak, against some tough competitors, and their cups runneth over with testosterone, but we are the Texas Longhorns.  Since 1894 we have lost 36 games to Texas A&M.  We have won 75.  So, even if they beat us this Thanksgiving, A&M has quite a way to go before they’re even close to measuring up to the mighty Longhorns.

One thing that might help is to install special security at the stadium gates for detecting any attempt for a 12th man or 12th woman to enter the sacred DKR Memorial Stadium, and if detected, have them immediately arrested as terrorists.  Let em’ try playing without that 12th man and see how they do.

What About The 2011, 2012 Season?

Mack Brown took over as head coach in 1998, and had a 5 loss season in 1999.  Since then, and until now, 2010, all of his seasons have been 3 or less losses.  He has 9 consecutive 10 or more win seasons. He took us through a 2005 National Championship.  Well, I guess I should say that Vince Young gave us that championship in the last seconds of a game that looked like a certain loss. 

Mack Brown also took us to another National Championship in 2009.  One that I believe we would have won, if Colt McCoy would not have been taken out of the game with a shoulder injury at 4 minutes into the game.  We were already dominating the field. Our backup QB, Garrett Gilbert, had to play the remaining 56 minutes, which he did courageously, against the toughest team in the NCAA.  Before that championship game we had played Alabama 7 times, and won every game.  The 2009 Championship game was our first loss to Alabama ever.

The Texas Longhorns are the 2nd most winning team in the history of the NCAA.  We started playing football in 1893, and played that season without a coach.  We played 4 games, and held 3 opponents to zero point games. The next year, 1894, we held 6 opponents to zero point games.

We have 162 consecutive games on the AP top 25, and 9 consecutive years with 10 or more wins.  We are 4 time National Champions, and have the 2nd most all time NCAA Bowl appearances.  We are number 5 in all time NCAA Bowl wins. Mack Brown holds the highest win percentage in 117 years of Texas Longhorn football.  Darrell K. Royal holds the next highest win percentage. In season 2005 we scored 652 points in 13 games, which is an average of 50 points per game.

In the 13 years that Mack Brown has been head coach, 1998 - 2010, and if things come out as I’ve predicted, the Texas Longhorns will have won 138 games, and lost 35 games, and Mack Brown will walk away with only a 6 game loss season.  If A&M takes the field, then Mack Brown will be among the very few Texas coaches ever to have seen 7 or more losses in a given season.  That has happened only 4 other times in 117 years of Longhorn football.

The record is 9 losses in the 1956 season.  We saw an 8 loss season in 1938.  Then we saw two 7 loss seasons in 1988, and 1997.  Mack Brown took over then, in 1998, and hopefully he will not become a member of the 7 or more loss club.

The most losses per season that Fred Akers ever saw was 6 in 1986, which was also the year he retired as head coach after 10 years of coaching.  Coincidentally, coach Darrell Royal also retired after the year of his most losses.  He had a 5 loss season in 1976, and retired after 19 years of coaching.

Whether this season ends up a 6 or 7 loss season for Mack Brown, what I’m suggesting here is that the timing seems right.  Call it intuition, call it the winds of change are blowing, call it the Great Fathers of Football are gently speaking a message.

There could not be any better timing for Mack Brown to step down than at the end of this season.  Not because he lost 6 or 7 games this year, and not because anyone thinks he’s a bad coach, or because people are hot about things and want heads to roll, but because it makes sense.  It’s the right thing to do for the entire collection of the Texas Longhorn community, including the team.

Coach Brown is not a hands on coach like Will Muschamp.  Brown’s strengths have been as an organizer, a general manager, more like Tom Landry.  His strengths are in organizing his recruiting staff to do great work, in thinking ahead enough to keep Muschamp on staff, and on making sure all of the supportive mechanisms are top notch, for a top notch team.

Let’s give Muschamp a chance as head coach for the 2011, 2012 season.  He’s a seriously hands on coach, and knows football inside and out.  He’s got the drive, the determination, and he’ll just need some excellent scouting for coordinators. 

Coach Brown has served us well, and there’s no reason in the world why he wouldn’t step down now, except for pride.  Muschamp is ready to take the reigns, he’s ready to go at it fiercely, the Longhorns are ready for new blood, the new recruits want to know they’re coming into something different.  It’s the new and different that will energize the Team.

Coach Brown will retire as one of the best coaches in the 117 year history of our football program.  Fred Akers and Darrell Royal had no shame to retire on their worst seasons.  They knew it was time for a change, and they certainly had no doubts whatsoever that they had been some of the best coaches in college football.

Coach Brown missed a great deal of detail this season, starting with Spring training.  He is quoted after the Florida Atlantic game as telling his entire staff that he gives them an “F” for the season.  I agree, the worst thing that went wrong this season is that the details for training and preparing a new team for college level football did not get attended to, but who’s fault is that?  If it’s the staff’s job to attend to the training detail, isn’t it the head coaches job to see that the staff is doing that work.  Mack Brown missed this season by a mile or more, but I’m not suggesting he step down because he was an “F” rated coach for 2010.  I’m suggesting it because Muschamp is the better person for the job, and Mack should step down because it is what will give the 2011, 2012 Texas Longhorns the best chance of returning to a top 25 rated team.

I strongly believe that Mack should step down, and give Muschamp a chance with the 2011, 2012 recruits, but he won’t do that, although it was not beneath both the highly respected Darrell K Royal and Fred Akers for them to step down after their worst seasons, Mack Brown somehow believes he is better, and will not do what would be best for the team and entire Longhorn community.  Shame on you, Mack Brown.

Best of Luck Thanksgiving Day, Mighty Texas Longhorns.

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November 6, 2010
Texas Longhorns & The Garrett Gilbert Syndrome

First of all, let me say that it is very refreshing to have the fans, press, and bloggers start to calm down about this years losing trend. Losing does not come easy to the Longhorn brethren, and the trend of losses this season has brought down seemingly the fury of Hell itself.  Orange blood is winning blood, but we do have a newly re-organized team, and plenty of mistakes were made to facilitate the losses with UCLA and Iowa State, especially. 

I thought Mack Brown did a very good job with his Monday evening press conference after the Baylor game.  He was humbled, honest, knew his facts, and was talking like a head coach should speak, instead of showing frustration like he did after the Iowa State game.  He was clear about expectations, that we can now focus on work, instead of worrying about Titles, Championships, school records, or even a Bowl Game.  I’m glad to see him take hold of this situation and realize that it’s up to the coaches now to do the work of fixing some of the mistakes being made consistently.  I think the coaches, trainers, and staff have been a little slow to pick up on the fact that it was time to start earning their pay starting with Spring training.  I think they all thought Garrett Gilbert was going to come out somehow and just be amazing, which makes their job so much easier.  So, I was pleased to see Coach Brown speak like the head coach he is made of.

I thought Texas played a much harder, and more determined game against Baylor, than I have seen all season.  So, at least for that game, the whole issue of morale and commitment to playing their best, the Texas Longhorns showed a great deal of improvement, which means the coaches have already started to get serious about working with things.

Baylor has an explosive offense, having racked up 683 total yards in their previous game against Kansas State, whom we will play this Saturday. In that game, Baylor RB Jay Finley set a new school record of 250 yards on the ground, with 2 touchdowns, and QB Robert Griffin set his career high with 404 passing yards, and 4 touchdowns.

The Texas defense came ready and prepared, and I think Muschamp did his homework well, with his defense holding Baylor to 328 yards total.  That’s half of what Baylor is capable of doing. It’s very hard to criticize the Texas defense, given the fact they held Finley to 116 total yards on 15 carries, and also considering they held Griffin to 239 total passing yards on 39 attempts.  The Texas defense played furiously, for exactly 58 minutes of the game.  During those other 2 minutes of the game, the Texas defense let through 3 touchdowns, (1) in the 2nd quarter, a 59 yard TD pass, (2) in the 3rd quarter, a 69 yard TD run by Finely, and (3) in the 4th quarter, a 30 yard TD pass.

Before that 69 yard run by Finely during the 3rd quarter, our defense had held him to an embarrassing 47 yards on the ground, and without the two TD passes by Griffin we had managed to hold him to a little over 200 yards.  Very, very impressive Mr. Muschamp and team.  However, with an offense capable of racking up almost 700 yards a game, even one mistake can be a costly one.  So, while the Texas defense played better than I’ve ever seen, the 3 TDs that came through, were clearly misreads, or mistakes, with the Texas defense.  That’s the painful part of a game like Baylor played.  They get 62 plays during the game, and 59 of them are met with a top notch defense, then 3 of those 62 plays turn into a Big Play because that furious defense just missed their man.

(1) On a 3rd and 10, outside field goal range, and with 0.43 left on the 1st half clock, Griffin hits Terrance Williams, wide open, who runs in a 59 yard TD pass.  Our defense has one tackle that can’t quite grab him, there was no coverage on Williams, and you can see the footage in the background of about 3 Texas players standing still, watching the ball fly through the air.  They don’t even try to move in the direction where the football is flying.  Who was supposed to cover Williams?  Blake Gideon?  With 0.39 left on the clock, Texas was able to get within field goal range, and Justin Tucker set the half time score to Texas 12 - Baylor10.  If someone would have covered Williams, Baylor would have had to punt, and we would have gone into the half Texas 9/12 - Baylor 3.

(2) Late in the 3rd quarter, the score is Texas 19 - Baylor 17.  We had been struggling offensively, mainly with Red Zone conversions. 12 of our 19 points were from Justin Tucker field goals. On a 1st and 10 after a Texas punt, Finley slips through the Texas defense for a 69 yard TD run.  On a blitz, he split through two linebackers, neither one was there to plug the hole.  The linebackers just didn’t look for the hole, or see it.  Once Finley is clear, he’s gone, you don’t catch him, like our runners can be caught.  Baylor goes for 2 and misses.

(3) With about 8 minutes left to play, on 3rd and 9, on the UT 30 yard line, Baylor 23 - Texas 19, the Texas defense is set to force a field goal, which would have left plenty of time for Texas to tie the game, and push it into overtime, but Kendell Wright slips through uncovered and catches a 30 yard TD pass. Where was the coverage on Wright?  I think that was the play that sealed the game.  It’s feasible we could have caught up to a one touchdown lead, but not 11 points.  Tucker does manage one more field goal for a Final score of Baylor 30 - Texas 22.


The Garrett Gilbert Syndrome

Now that I have all that out of the way, and with very mixed feelings, pointed out where our most excellent defense just messed up on 3 plays out of 62, opening up a whopping 21 points on the board for Baylor, I’d like to address my most serious concern.  I call it the Garrett Gilbert Syndrome.

This syndrome manifests itself in the thinking process of sports writers, bloggers, and many Longhorn fans.  Characteristics of the Syndrome appear to be a sort of fixation that Garrett Gilbert is somehow responsible for the success or failure of the entire Texas Longhorn team.  The syndrome had mutated to infectious proportions between the UCLA game and Baylor game.  It does appear to be calming down some after the Baylor game, but still very prevalent.

The underlying premise with this Syndrome is that Garrett Gilbert is young, still maturing as a QB, and does not demonstrate much leadership ability, which has had a negative effect on the performance of everyone on the team.  This syndrome began to manifest itself after the UCLA game, where Gilbert’s lack of offensive leadership and performance, demoralized the Texas defense to the point where they just couldn’t play, if Gilbert’s offense was going to keep making mistakes.

I did not say this syndrome was based in reality, but victims of the Syndrome are plagued by this fixation that every problem somehow can be traced back to Gilbert himself.  In the above scenario, note that Gilbert doesn’t even play defense, and so he’s not even on the field. He’s over on the sideline, sitting down, with headphones on talking to Greg Davis, but those afflicted with this Syndrome can easily see that just looking at Gilbert’s facial expressions, or maybe the way he holds his head, can infect all 11 players on the defense to where they just can’t even play anymore.

Likewise, with the Baylor game mentioned above, sports casters could not refrain from mentioning that Gilbert just doesn’t have the leadership that he needs to win games.  Again, probably not based in reality, since the 3 big plays our Texas defense let through, was completely unrelated to anything Gilbert could have done.   Nevertheless, the Syndrome tends to see Gilbert as responsible for losing the game, even though he doesn’t coach the defense, or wasn’t on the field.  With more leadership Gilbert should have made up for those 21 points our defense put on the board, but he didn’t.

We had a real problem with Red Zone conversions with the Baylor game. Those with the Garrett Gilbert Syndrome translate this into Gilbert just not making the right decisions.  Case in point. Opening drive for Baylor, where Sam Acho forces a fumble, and eventually recovers it on the Baylor 39.  Within 4 or 5 plays Gilbert has us at 1st and goal, on the Baylor 9 yard line.  He attempts two passes.  I can’t remember which one it was, the first to Matthews or the second pass to Kirkendoll, but he made the pass under tight Red Zone pressure, with the receiver under very tight coverage inside the end zone.  It was probably one of the best throws I’ve ever seen in college football.  It hit the receiver dead center of his chest, and he had both hands touching the ball, then he just drops the ball.  A beautiful TD pass, but for one with the GG Syndrome, the pass was thrown too hard, or had the wrong spin, or the receiver didn’t like the way Gilbert looked when he threw it.  That was 7 points my man, instead of the 3 we had to settle for.  The pass was ruled incomplete.

The very next Texas drive, it’s 3rd and 11, we’re in field goal range on the Baylor 40, Gilbert throws long to Kirkendoll, who had both hands around the ball, but doesn’t keep it.  The pass was ruled dropped. We settle for 3 points.  Those afflicted with the Garrett Gilbert syndrome clearly see that Gilbert’s timing was off, or too much spin again, or maybe Gilbert forgot to wipe the ball and it was slippery with sweat from Gilbert’s hands, all possible consequences of someone who is lacking leadership.  Again, we settle for 3 instead of 7.

I thought it was the quarter back’s job to deliver the ball to the receiver, then it was the receiver’s job to catch and hold onto the ball.  Considering that the previous two passes were thrown perfectly, and hit their targets with total accuracy, I fail to see how the loss of those two touchdowns can be Gilbert’s fault.

Also, Kudos to the officials.  They really got a workout this game.  Heck, Curtis Brown put them through two official reviews that probably took overall 15 minutes.  Brown fumbled not one, but two, punt returns.  Somehow, that is Gilbert’s fault, although Gilbert doesn’t play on special teams.  To Brown’s credit, neither of the fumbles were game changing events.  Texas recovered each time.  Brown even ran back a punt return to the 50 yard line at one point.

You can credit Baylor’s defense with our lack of Red Zone conversions, and low 3rd down conversion rates.  They basically took 6 Red Zone opportunities, a possible 42 points of touchdowns, and turned them into 6 field goal attempts, of which Justin Tucker made good on 5, giving us 15 points, instead of the possible 42.  If Tucker had not stepped in to save the day, those with the GG syndrome would have had some way of pointing out Tucker’s performance was infected with Gilbert’s lack of leadership.

We also recovered only one of five Baylor turnovers.  One of those 5 fumbles resulted from sacking Baylor QB Griffin, where our Texas man falls completely on the ball, his whole body covering the ball, the ball pops out, and is recovered by Baylor.  Even when we’re laying right on top of the ball we can’t seem to hold onto it.  A Texas recovery would have left us on the Baylor 20 yard line.  Again, kudos to the Texas defense, forcing 5 fumbles to our 1.

Mid 3rd quarter, Griffin pass intercepted by Christia Scott, with only small return, but left us with good field position on the Texas 40 yard line. Flags thrown, two penalties against Texas, block in the back, and personal foul, result is 25 yard loss.  We’re now on the Texas 15, when we should have been mid field.  Again, Gilbert wasn’t even on the field, but he now has to start a drive from the 15 instead of the 40, and not from anything he did, both penalties preventable.

Also 3rd quarter, 4th down and 3, on the Baylor 33.  This late in the game I guess Brown decides to go for it.  Nice throw, complete pass to Williams, who promptly steps out of bounds.  We have the first down, except there’s a flag on the field, pass interference against Williams, 15 yards.  We’re now at 4th and 18, so going for it is out of the question.  Another game changing penalty against Texas, Williams pushed his coverage down, then caught the ball.  I fail to see how Gilbert made Williams do that.

Texas was set back by over 100 yards of penalties, several of them were game changing penalties.  None of them committed by Gilbert.  One of the false starts was costly.

The only interception Gilbert is being credited with is seriously questionable.  Late in the 3rd quarter, Gilbert throws about a 15 - 20 yard pass, I think to Greg Smith, which hits his target so perfectly in the chest, and he has both hands around the ball, but Smith is hit, and forgets his job is to hold the ball tightly after catching it, the ball pops up in the air and lands in the hands of an all-too-willing-to-catch-it Baylor Bear.  That was clearly a someone-didn’t-hold-onto-the-ball, not an interception.  That was a game changing play, as it set Griffin up on the Texas 11 yard line, and an eventual touchdown resulted.  Nevertheless, Gilbert is credited with an interception, even though his accuracy was perfect, and the receiver caught the ball.

Gilbert is being credited with one sack as opposed to Griffin’s five.  I suppose that’s Gilbert’s fault though, even though that’s why he has an offensive line in front of him to hopefully keep him from being sacked.  Bad decision making, he just didn’t get out of the way quick enough.  To Gilbert’s credit, I’ll point out that in the Baylor game he took more than a few hard hits, waiting for the last 10th of the second to throw the ball, which is the mark of a quarterback that deserves some respect.

We’re under the 2 minute marker on our own 19, 3rd down, a false start moves us back to the 14.  Gilbert throws a nice 21 yarder, 1st down stuff, to Goodwin who catches it, he just forgets to hold it. Goodwin get’s slightly bumped for the tackle and the ball goes flying out of his arms.  Baylor recovers.  I’m thinking wtf, even when we catch the ball we can’t hold onto it.  He didn’t get hit hard, just bumped a little.  Gilbert’s fault.

Now, I’m not saying Gilbert is Heisman material, or that he’s perfect.  He did overthrow one pass, and under throw another pass.  He attempted a very difficult end zone TD pass to the side line, and was about 6 inches too long.  The receiver was well covered, and those 6 inches could have meant a deflection.  The receiver had his left hand on the ball, just couldn’t real it in.  Officially 6 passes were dropped, 2 of those were TD passes.  A few of his passes were tipped, some just covered too well, and others ruled incomplete when they were catchable. He threw away one, maybe more.

What I’m trying to clear up with this Garrett Gilbert Syndrome going around, is that Mr. Gilbert is not the problem with the Texas Longhorns.  The 22 points Texas put on the board against Baylor were put there by Justin Tucker and Garrett Gilbert.  Not one of our receivers, or one of our runners put a point on the board.  And then, our defense, for as well as they played, they did help put 21 points on the Baylor side of the board.  Garrett Gilbert did not lose the game to Baylor, his teammates did.

I see this as a year of re-organizing and training, which means the work that needs to be done lies at the doorsteps of the coaches.  I am glad to see Mack Brown taking that seriously.  We will continue to gain some experience as a team, since Kansas State, Oklahoma State University, and even A&M are playing good football this year, and any one of, or all of those, teams could be another potential loss for the beloved Longhorns.  The losses show us what to work on, and now that the coaches are taking their jobs more seriously, with the work we do this year, and the recruits coming in next year, we will be back on top very, very soon.  Hopefully all of our 2011 5-star recruits will stick with us.


The University of Texas Longhorns
* 161 consecutive games on the AP top 25
* 9 consecutive years with 10 or more wins
* 4 Time National Champions (almost 5)
* The most 5-star recruits for 2011 than any other NCAA team
* Playing Orange Blooded Football since 1893
* 2nd most wins in the NCAA (849)
* Number 2 in all time NCAA Bowl Appearances (49)
* Number 5 in all time NCAA Bowl Wins
* From 2000 - 2009 we won 114, lost 21 Games
* That period, Mack Brown, has the highest win percentage (0.844)
* Darrell K. Royal holds the next highest win percentage (0.810)
* Season 2005 we scored 652 points in 13 games

(Source: golonghorns.wordpress.com)

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